Today APCO Worldwide’s Berlin office published an analysis of the upcoming German federal elections in September.
Most observers assume that Chancellor Angela Merkel will be re-elected when Germans go to the polls on September 22, 2013. She is extremely popular, and her party is far ahead in the polls. In fact, if Germans were given the opportunity to vote directly for the chancellor, opinion polls suggest that Merkel would win a formidable 63 percent of the vote. However, opinion polls never tell the whole story. Just recently, Merkel’s party experienced a shocking defeat during the state elections in Lower Saxony (which was thought to be a sure win for her party). Even if the polls do turn out to be accurate, Merkel is likely to struggle to form a coalition with her existing partners, the FDP. The outcome of the German election campaign is certainly more ambiguous than the numbers suggest.… Read more »